jrWHAG42 said:
According to Wikipedia before this match Magnus and Caruana have played each other 33 times using classical time controls with the record being 10 wins for Carlsen, 5 wins for Caruana, and 18 draws(Carlsen was white 17 games and Caruana was white 16 games)
In blitz/rapid/exhibition games, they have played 23 times with the record being 13 wins for Carlsen and 6 wins for Caruana with 4 draws (it doesn’t how many of those games Carlsen was white or how many Caruana was white).
I too would bet on Carlsen.